PRUDENT INVESTING WITH OPTIONS

HINDUNILVR CALL  GIVEN ON 11 JAN POST ROCKS..!!! ACHIEVED ALL THE TGTS

Prudent investor must act as other prudent investors who manage similar portfolios, with similar investment objectives, act. Professional money managers can exercise judgment when taking care of other people's money -- but they cannot take any action that is too risky -- they cannot speculate by buying options, nor can they trade penny stocks, etc.

The definition of a prudent investor has undergone major changes over the years and the prudent investor rule describes the standards to which managers must adhere when investing client money.

One hundred years ago, no manager would consider investing in the stock market. Before 1945, prudent investment professionals, and the law governing their liabilities, condemned stock investing as imprudent speculation.

Later (after WW2), as inflation became part of our lives and the legal view of stock investing changed, stocks became the core holding of most investment portfolios.

In modern times, as it became clear that few investment professionals could outperform the stock market (as measured by the performance of broad-based indexes, such as the S&P 500), the law came to accept passive investing (indexing) as a prudent strategy. Advisors may now own index funds and are not required to search for outstanding investment opportunities.

This simplified road to investing became the norm. Prudent money managers were pleased when they matched the returns of their peers. Imprudent managers remain in business. They seek higher returns by taking extra risk because they want to achieve results that attract new investors.

 As the market soared during the 1980's and 1990's those 'average' returns were more than acceptable to most investors as the value of their portfolios grew. When the bubble burst, and the markets declined, average returns turned negative. That’s when people noticed that hedge funds were outperforming the overall market.

 Although these funds keep their trading strategies secret, it is known that they take advantage of derivatives (including options) to find investment opportunities that are not available to traditional money managers.

THE INTELLIGENT BUT WORRIED BULL

Markets Rise; Markets Fall

When it comes to stock investing, one of the most accurate predictions remains: "Markets have their ups and downs." Sometimes the bulls win and sometimes the bears win.

One of the sad truths is that too many individual investors unload their holdings after a significant decline, missing out when the decline ends a a large rally ensues. Although good advice  (If you are an individual investor, do not try to time the market when investing for the long term) is easy to come by, it is understandable that people become frightened during market downturns.

When they lose enough, they sell everything, trying not to lose their remaining assets.

Options to the Rescue

If you have ever succumbed to that vicious trap, or if you are thinking about dumping investments to provide more security for your remaining assets, please reconsider.

Options -- the conservative and versatile investment tool -- can help you avoid making decisions that result in a financial catastrophe.

If you are a long-term investor (short-term traders have a different mindset and a different trading style) who occasionally thinks in terms of owning safer investments that come with built-in insurance against a huge loss, then options can be your salvation. But please understand: Options must be used wisely to achieve the peace of mind that comes with safety.

Option Strategies for the Bullish (but Frightened) Long-Term Investor

·     Very aggressive technique that allows you to remain fully invested, but which protects the entire portfolio. NOTE: "Protects the entire portfolio" does not mean that you will never lose money. Instead it means: If you pay a premium -- just as with an insurance policy -- then all losses become limited to a predetermined (and hopefully acceptable to you) sum. In other words, a stock market tumble will result in a monetary loss, but your portfolio will survive.

WHAT IS OPTIONS ? FREE OPTION CALLS FOR 12 JAN 2016

"BUY INFY 1040 PUT @ 25 TGT 43/64" 

"BUY HINDUNILVR 820 CALL @ 17.20 TGT 26.50/34.80"

Options are best tools to trade in Certainly Uncertain Market

Traders new to options find it difficult to understand options. Here is an attempt to present simple option trading strategies for new comers.

First a basic understanding of options

Basically two types of options exist: Call option and Put option.

• As you know option is a right and not obligation. For this right you pay a premium which is called Option Premium.
• Options expiry date is same as Future that is Last Thursday of settlement.
• If you have bullish view in any security you can buy call option
• On the other hand in case of bearish view you buy Put option.

CONSERVATIVE OPTION STRATEGIES INCREASE PROFITS

"The options-based strategies can be useful in improving the risk-return characteristics of a long equity portfolio."

Although this paper goes into more specific option strategies that other studies, the results are very similar: Basic option strategies accomplish two useful things for conservative investors.

First, returns are modestly enhanced. Please note the word "modestly." I am not telling you that using options will make you rich. But, over the longer-term, you can anticipate being farther ahead when using some option strategies as part of your overall investment plan.

Second, the value of your portfolio undergoes smaller changes (i.e., smaller ups and downs).

"Ignoring early exercise for simplicity, we find that the covered combination and covered call strategies generally outperform the long stock strategy, which in turn generally outperforms the collar and protective put strategies regardless of the performance measure considered. "

Thus:-

·         Writing covered calls generally outperforms the buy and hold (stocks) strategy.
 

·         Writing covered combinations (i.e., owning 100 shares of stock and writing one OTM call and one OTM put) outperforms the simple buy and hold strategy.

However, owning stock produces better results than ultra-conservative strategies. That is understandable, because the primary objective for very conservative investors is the preservation of capital, with the ability to earn a good return being of secondary importance.

·         The collar strategy does ensure that the investor's losses are limited, regardless of how far the stock price may tumble. However, the collar investor always earns less than the buy and hold strategist -- over the longer-term. In other words, insurance costs money.
 

·         The protective put strategy involves owning both 100 shares and one put option. The put generally has an out-of-the-money strike price. This is similar to the collar strategy, but does not involve the sale of an out-of-the-money call option. The investor who adopts this strategy pays a stiff price for portfolio protection, but is able to fully participate in all rallies. 
 

Equivalent Positions

Because some option positions are equivalent to others, it is not necessary to adopt the methods mentioned above in order to achieve the same financial results. For example:

·         You can sell cash-secured (i.e., if assigned an exercise notice, you have sufficient cash in your account to buy stock) naked put options instead of writing covered calls. However, please note that the expiration and strike price of the put and the expiration and strike price of the call must be identical in order for the results to be equivalent.

STOCK TO WATCH FOR TOMORROW 8 JAN 2016

FOR TOMORROW KEEP AN EYE ON -  MARUTI, JINDALSTEL
One of the ways investors classify stocks is by type of business. The idea is to put companies in similar industries together for comparison purposes. Most analysts and financial media call these groupings sectors and you will often read or hear about how certain sector stocks are doing.
One of the most common classifications breaks the market into 11 different sectors. Investors consider two of their sectors defensive and the remaining nine  cyclical. Let’s look at these two categories and see what they mean for the individual investor.

Defensive

Defensive stocks include utilities and consumer staples. These companies usually don’t suffer as much in a market downturn because people don’t stop using energy or eating. They provide a balance to portfolios and offer protection in a falling market.

However, for all their safety, defensive stocks usually fail to climb with a rising market for the opposite reasons they provide protection in a falling market: people don’t use significantly more energy or eat more food.

Defensive stocks do exactly what their name implies, assuming they are well run companies. They give you a cushion for a soft landing in a falling market.

Cyclical stocks

Cyclical stocks, on the other hand, cover everything else and tend to react to a variety of market conditions that can send them up or down, however when one sector is going up another may be going down.

Here is a list of the nine sectors considered cyclical:

·         Basic Materials

·         Capital Goods

·         Communications

·         Consumer Cyclical

·         Energy

·         Financial

·         Health Care

·         Technology

·         Transportation

Most of these sectors are self-explanatory. They all involve businesses you can readily identify. Investors call them cyclical because they tend to move up and down in relation to businesses cycles or other influences.

Basic materials, for example, include those items used in making other goods – lumber, for instance. When the housing market is active, the stock of lumber companies will tend to rise. However, high interest rates might put a damper on home building and reduce the demand for lumber.

How to Use

Stocks sectors are helpful sorting and comparison tools.

·         US Stock Market

·         Stocks to Invest In

·         Trading Stock

·         Shares and Stocks

·         Where to Buy Stocks

Don’t get hung up on using just one organization set of sectors, though.  Use slightly different sectors in its tools, which let you compare stocks within a sector.

This is extremely helpful, since one of the ways to use sector information is to compare how your stock or a stock you may want to buy, is doing relative to other companies in the same sector.

If all the other stocks are up 11% and your stock is down 8%, you need to find out why. Likewise, if the numbers are reversed, you need to know why your stock is doing so much better than others in the same sector – maybe its business model has changed and it shouldn’t be in that sector any longer.

OPTION CALL PUT TIPS FOR 7 JAN 2016

"ITC 315 PUT @ 6 TGT 7.40/8.50 SL 4.90"

Mixed sentiment prevailed on Asian bourses, with most major regional indices trading in the red, while the Chinese equities stabilized somewhat followed by the wild ride witnessed so far this week after services sector data showed expansion. This relative strength is perhaps because the ban by Chinese securities regulator on share sales by major shareholders will continue, which was set to expire on Friday. The lull after Monday's crash is set to continue as the market world over remains on tenterhooks. Nifty shuts below 7750 mark. The Sensex and Nifty fell for third day in a row on Wednesday as sentiment remained weak in the absence of any positive trigger amid weak Asian cues.

MARKET OUTLOOK & OPTION CALL & PUT TIPS FOR 6 JAN 2015

Range bound movement was there in the market today. Equity benchmarks continued to be directionless due to lack of global and domestic cues. The Sensex fell 36 points to 25586 and the Nifty declined 3 points to 7787. Global financial services major UBS today said it is "overweight" on India but sees limited room for a re-rating and forecast an end-2016 Nifty target of 8,200. Limited room for a re-rating and forecast an end-2016 Nifty target of 8200 based on a 15x one-year forward PE multiple.

STOCK & NIFTY OPTION UPDATE & FREE TIPS FOR 5 JAN 2016

Domestic markets slipped tracking weak trend seen in Asian markets after data on Friday showed China's factory activity shrank for a 10th straight month in December. Reacting to the news, China's benchmark CSI300 share index dipped 7 per cent on the first session of 2016 on Monday, prompting the stock exchange to halt trading for the rest of the day.  The  Sensex tumbled 537 points to end below its crucial psychological level of 26000 in trade on Monday, while broader  Nifty also settled below its key support level of 7800.

In today’s trade TATASTEEL, ASIANPAINT, HCLTECH was the top gainers while TATAMOTORS, IDEA, BANKBARODA, HINDALCO was the top most losers stock of the day.  Most Active Securities of today was JETAIRWAYS, RELIANCE, and RELINFRA.

TATAMOTTORS STRATEGY UPDATE

BOOK PROFIT IN 1 LOT TATAMOTORS 420 CALL  @7.5-7.6

PLAIN VANILA TATAMOTORS OPTION STRATEGY

BUY 2 LOT TATAMOTORS 420 CALL @ 5.7
Total Investment=7125